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Title: Young guns"Who's the real deal?"


Brakkus - October 11, 2006 06:20 AM (GMT)
For quite a while now it has been predicted that certain young players will make it to the top and win slams.
So out of these four who is going to be a genuine slam winner?

1.Murray
2.Djokovic
3.Baghdatis
4.Gasquet

Now obviously to me it seems these particular four have climbed to the top,but who is going to make the final step and get themselves at the buisness end of slams regulary and challenge Federer during or after his career?

SerenaW19 - October 11, 2006 12:21 PM (GMT)
I don't know they all have certain pros and cons. But at the end of the day I don't think any of them is good enough to challenge Fed on a consistent basis withing the next few years, but the time he gets to 28/29 and has slowed down probably...

I would also add Monfils to that list, hopefully he will have a more consistent year next year.

Nick Havoc - October 11, 2006 07:12 PM (GMT)
I'm going to say Baghdatis. He seems to have shown an ability to rise to the occasion in the slams this year.

petalp - October 11, 2006 11:51 PM (GMT)
Well, I would agree that it is likely to be a number of years before any of these guys consistently challenge Federer. Roger's game is economical; it lends itself well to longevity, and he is in great physical condition. I would suggest that he will remain at the top for the next 3 years, minimum, all other things being equal..

These 4 may well have different trajectories in terms of their tennis careers, i.e. they are likelly to challenge in different ways.

Djokovic is the one most likely to challenge on a consistent basis. He has the desire and application to get right to the top, is an excellent competitor, and crucially, his game is in very good nick.

Gasquet could become a bit of a Safin, i.e. can beat anyone on his day, but seems a little flakey and equally as capable of shanking a match. But will always have that innate ability to blow someone off the court..

Murray, i'm not sure about.. with Gilbert on board he definitely has a chance to get to the top 10.. but I still think that he has a long way to go before he can challenge.. He has the talent for sure.. but really he needs the discipline and desire, and Gilbert's best efforts alone won't be enough. He needs to push himself too.. a lot. And his dislike of early mornings (USO match) weren't encouraging.

Baggy. Well, defintely a danger man, and a guy for the big stage. Probably top 5 material, but might not get to the top. Definitely want him to be there or thereabouts as he's a great character to have on the tour, and I love watching him play. I guess I don't know whether he will develop that killler instinct. mind you, he had some crackers of matches at the AO and surprised everyone. Looking forward to seeing how he progresses further (after all he is top 10 already!).

SW19 mentioned Monfils. Not sure about him, again would question his focus and drive. Seems to have a lot of growing up. development to do. He needs a good team around him, like Rafa has, in order to get the best out of him. there are plenty of junior slam winners who haven't filfilled their promise, and unless he buckles down, then he could run the risk of joining that group.




Brakkus - October 12, 2006 06:09 AM (GMT)
I look at the original list here,and it's actually hard to tell who will be the best.If you were going on serious shotmaking ability then Gasquet would win.
Tennis though really is a lot about mental application,and I guess if one of these guys wins a TMS against Federer or Nadal,then that would mean they are ready.

My guess is that it will be like petalp said,that it will be a good three years,after Federer is done because at the moment it's more than just mentally being able to handle it,it's also about reaching a level of play that can win a slam.
This is something that Federer is doing all on his own right now.

Musing - October 13, 2006 10:23 PM (GMT)
Let me also add Berdych to the list. He has some talent. He beat both Federer and Nadal, I suspect in time to come he will be a force to reckon with at Wimbledon. Who knows he could be the next Goran Ivanisevic.

scvangils - October 14, 2006 08:31 AM (GMT)
At the moment Djokovic seems to be the one with the best attitude towards the game. He may not have the pure shotmaking abilities of the others, but he is an excellent allround player.

I do however predict that Baghdatis will win a Slam somewhere someday, but only if Federer and Nadal get knocked out by someone else.

Big Al - October 14, 2006 11:21 AM (GMT)
At the moment Djokovic and Baghdatis seem to have the better mental attitude .The other two have lots of raw talent but its hard to predict how consistently successful they'll be in 2-3 years time. Id agree Federer will dominate until then at least :)
Baghdatis has proved he can challenge in the major tournaments this year , its not unlikely he could win a Slam even next year .The Aussie is probably his best bet.

JymJilly - October 15, 2006 11:05 AM (GMT)
I think Dijokovic is the best prospect followed by Murray at the moment.
I reckon he will finish this year on a high and Murray will probabaly have an even better year next year. Providing he increases his fitness levels.




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